KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Above 8.2% (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 21 Eki 2026 21:35
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
Above 8.2%
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
3%
SürprizVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
21 Eki 2026 20:55 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
7.6%27%
Below 7.6%5%
7.7%9%
7.9%12%
7.8%3%
8.0%48%
Above 8.2%99%
8.2%1%
8.1%1%
Above 8.2%Kazandı
8.1%Kaybetti
7.6%Kaybetti
Below 7.6%Kaybetti
7.7%Kaybetti
7.9%Kaybetti
7.8%Kaybetti
8.0%Kaybetti
8.2%Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Generic congressional ballot on election day 2026? (More buckets)
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketOhio Governor winner?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:VoteHub
Her sonucun kuralı
- Above 8.2%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.1%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.6%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 7.6%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 7.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.7%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.9%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.8%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.0%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.2%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.