KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: 4.56% or above (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 27 Eki 2026 22:02
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
4.56% or above
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
99%
KonsensüsVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
27 Eki 2026 19:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
4.68% or above92%
4.72% or above13%
4.7% or above67%
4.66% or above49%
4.74% or above9%
4.76% or above26%
4.78% or above10%
4.64% or above0%
4.82% or above2%
4.62% or above0%
4.56% or above99%
4.58% or above99%
4.6% or above99%
4.8% or above11%
4.84% or above0%
4.66% or aboveKaybetti
4.64% or aboveKaybetti
4.56% or aboveKazandı
4.58% or aboveKaybetti
4.6% or aboveKaybetti
4.62% or aboveKaybetti
4.68% or aboveKaybetti
4.7% or aboveKaybetti
4.72% or aboveKaybetti
4.74% or aboveKaybetti
4.76% or aboveKaybetti
4.78% or aboveKaybetti
4.82% or aboveKaybetti
4.8% or aboveKaybetti
4.84% or aboveKaybetti
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PolymarketMakroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
Kurallar
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 27, 2026, or one week following Oct 27, 2026.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 4.66% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.64% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.63% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.56% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.58% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.57% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.6% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.62% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.61% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.68% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.7% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.72% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.74% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.