KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Claude 76%-2.0pt9 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
71 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺851,1 B
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
31 Ağu 26 17:3030 Eyl 26 14:00
Trendler
Kurallar
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:LMArena Code
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Açık piyasalar
AI
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- September 30+1.1pt100%
- October 31+0.9pt100%
- September 25+1.3pt99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺30,7 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.5pt62.1%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt19.4%
- Grok+1.2pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺492 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI's Astra released on?
- September 4+14.7pt19.6%
- September 8+15.9pt15.9%
- September 9+15.6pt15.9%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+5.8pt100%
- November 30,+3.7pt100%
- December 31,+3.6pt100%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+12.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+7.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude-17.0pt68.2%
- ChatGPT+14.0pt23.4%
- Gemini2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,8 Mn
- Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- When will any company achieve AGI?
- AI capability growth this year?
- Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 4 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Claude için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.