KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Exactly 3.90% (41%)
Sonuçlandı: 23 Eki 2026 13:40
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
23 Eki 2026 11:51 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
3.91% or Above2%
Exactly 3.87%1%
3.85% or Below1%
Exactly 3.88%90%
Exactly 3.86%1%
Exactly 3.90%36%
Exactly 3.89%0%
Exactly 3.88%Kaybetti
Exactly 3.90%Kazandı
Exactly 3.89%Kaybetti
Exactly 3.87%Kaybetti
3.91% or AboveKaybetti
3.85% or BelowKaybetti
Exactly 3.86%Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiUS Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 22, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.