KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%5 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%Piyasa kalitesi
46 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺35,6 B
Açık pozisyon
$2,3 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Kas 26 15:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2029
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsWill Stephen Miller leave the White House before 2 Jan 2027?
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PolymarketKurallar
If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Stephen MillerThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPoliticoFinancial TimesMSNBCNBCABCCBSCNBCABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleBBC
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role he holds does not count. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Stephen Miller will cease to be White House Chief of Staff. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.