Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
One-OffUS PoliticsJeopolitik2y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 93%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺220,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
6.9% / 9.9%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Tem 25 14:00 UTC20 Oca 29 15:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Supreme Court
- The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review.
- For the avoidance of doubt: A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is "Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.