KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Sanction · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Sanction 99.5%26 seçenek arasında lider
Sanction 99.5%Piyasa kalitesi
71 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1,1 Mn
Açık pozisyon
$23 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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SanctionSpread
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Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Kas 26 20:00 UTC27 Kas 26 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Sanction
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio leave office in 2026?
PredictItWhat countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio visit Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMarco Rubio out as Secretary of State by which date?
PolymarketMarco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiKurallar
If Marco Rubio says NATO as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Marco Rubio speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Sanction
- If Marco Rubio says Sanction as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Communist / Communism
- If Marco Rubio says Communist / Communism as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Venezuela / Maduro
- If Marco Rubio says Venezuela / Maduro as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sovereign / Sovereignty
- If Marco Rubio says Sovereign / Sovereignty as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Constitution / Constitutional
- If Marco Rubio says Constitution / Constitutional as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Russia / Russian
- If Marco Rubio says Russia / Russian as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nuclear
- If Marco Rubio says Nuclear as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Supreme Court
- If Marco Rubio says Supreme Court as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If Marco Rubio says 2028 / Campaign as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- NATO
- If Marco Rubio says NATO as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- America First
- If Marco Rubio says America First as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Terrorist / Terrorism
- If Marco Rubio says Terrorist / Terrorism as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If Marco Rubio says Trump (3+ times) as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Marco Rubio says Tariff as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Marco Rubio says China / Chinese as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Marco Rubio says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cuba / Cuban
- If Marco Rubio says Cuba / Cuban as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Marco Rubio says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ukraine / Ukrainian
- If Marco Rubio says Ukraine / Ukrainian as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel / Israeli
- If Marco Rubio says Israel / Israeli as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Marco Rubio says Democrat as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jensen / Nvidia
- If Marco Rubio says Jensen / Nvidia as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran (3+ times)
- If Marco Rubio says Iran (3+ times) as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ceasefire
- If Marco Rubio says Ceasefire as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- National Security
- If Marco Rubio says National Security as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.