KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
At least 2.5°C 69.1%6 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
30 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺120,4 B
Düşük likiditePiyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Tem 26 23:005 Nis 27 14:00
Trendler
Kurallar
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary).
- For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value.
- The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period.
- However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 0.5 and 0.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+23.0pt72.8%
- 75° or below-3.0pt16.5%
- 78° to 79°-23.0pt6.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺16,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Houston+5.0pt99%
- New Orleans+31.0pt99%
- New York City+18.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 89° to 90°+60.0pt80.7%
- 91° to 92°-32.0pt14.7%
- 93° to 94°-14.0pt1.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- 82° or below+31.0pt86%
- 83° to 84°-27.0pt9%
- 85° to 86°-10.0pt2%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay-1.0pt28.7%
- Hanna+14.0pt17.4%
- Gonzalo+3.0pt17.4%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
- 30°C-6.5pt36.7%
- 29°C+12.5pt28.6%
- 28°C+21.0pt26.5%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Sık sorulan sorular
- What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 1 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla At least 2.5°C için 69% fiyatlıyor.
- What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Nisan 2027.
- What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.