KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
22 Eyl 2026 02:35 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Before 2027 22%
Piyasa kalitesi
47 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺602,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
11 May 26 16:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with the Republic of China, accepting an ambassador from the Republic of China, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies the Republic of China as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt52%
- No change+3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺445,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺47,6 Mn
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+4.0pt100%
- October 31+2.7pt100%
- September 24+5.3pt100%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.4pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.2pt91%
- Republican Party+0.1pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺30,7 Mn
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump recognize Taiwan? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before 2027 için 22% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump recognize Taiwan? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump recognize Taiwan? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Trump recognize Taiwan? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.