KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)
Sonuçlandı: 9 Haz 2026 00:56
Kazanan Sonuç
Ed Gallrein, 5-10%
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
—
Güncel ima edilen olasılıkEd Gallrein, 10-15% 1%10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
44 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺3,4 B
Likidite
₺925,8 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
0.3% / 0.9%
Spread
200.0%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
4 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Nis 26 14:0019 May 27 14:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Thomas Massie, 5-10%0%
Thomas Massie, 10-15%0%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%0%
Ed Gallrein, 15-20%0%
1%
95%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Kapalı
-0.1%99%
1%
0%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺8,9 Mn
24s Hacim₺1,6 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Gallrein minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Gallrein minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.