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  3. Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

2.4% (24s)One-OffPolitikaUS PoliticsSeçim12ay
KalshiKalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Graham Platner, ≥50% 99%+2.4%
7 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

49 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺7,5 B

Likidite

₺65,4 B

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

99.0% / 99.3%

Spread

0.3%

Dar spread
Piyasa verileri

10 dakika önce guncellendi

1 Nis 26 17:009 Haz 27 14:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık
Graham Platner, 10-20%
Graham Platner, 10-20%
0%
Janet Mills wins
Janet Mills wins
0%
Graham Platner, 0-10%
Graham Platner, 0-10%
0%

Seçilen sonuç

Graham Platner, ≥50%99%

Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.