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  3. Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8.0% (24s)One-OffPolitikaUS PoliticsSeçim11ay
KalshiKalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Josh Turek, 20-25%
Josh Turek, 20-25% 1%-8.0%
8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

28 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺4,1 B

Likidite

₺8,4 B

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Geniş spread
Piyasa verileri

7 dakika önce guncellendi

2 Haz 26 19:003 Haz 27 14:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Josh Turek, 20-25%1%

PolymarketPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

9.3%Kapalı
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30%
+0.8%99%
Other
Other
50%
Turek 30%+
Turek 30%+
+9.6%14%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

40 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim₺239,5 B
24s Hacim₺0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.

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Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.