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  3. Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim1y
KalshiKalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Barry Moore, ≥15%
Barry Moore, ≥15% 21%
12 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

44 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺7,4 B

Likidite

₺13,9 B

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Orta spread
Piyasa verileri

8 dakika önce guncellendi

8 Haz 26 17:0016 Haz 27 14:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Barry Moore, ≥15%21%

Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.