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  3. California governor primary margin of victory?
California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

7.0% (24s)One-OffPolitikaUS PoliticsSeçim11ay
KalshiKalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%
Xavier Becerra, 2-4% 95%+7.0%
18 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

49 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺617,1

Likidite

₺46,3 B

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Dar spread
Piyasa verileri

2 dakika önce guncellendi

28 May 26 0:002 Haz 27 14:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Xavier Becerra, 2-4%95%

Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.