KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 77%
Piyasa kalitesi
45 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺46,1 B
Likidite
₺59,6 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
13.0% / 22.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Eyl 26 20:00 UTC1 Oca 30 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
KalshiWill there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2040?
Manifold MarketsNorthern Ireland Assembly Elections: Most seats
SmarketsGeorgia vs. Northern Ireland
PolymarketKurallar
If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.6pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺97,4 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺35,1 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-31.9pt53.1%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.0pt45.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.4pt93%
- Yes-1.4pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,4 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom14.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24 Mn
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.