KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 76%
Piyasa kalitesi
43 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺59 B
Likidite
₺64,4 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
25.0% / 36.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Eyl 26 20:00 UTC1 Oca 30 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺115,1 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-30.3pt52.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.5pt46.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺22,1 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt10%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺813 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.