Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jul 2026?

RegülasyonOne-OffTrade Policy Politika US Politics Seçim27g

KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Evet 36%

Piyasa kalitesi

49 / 100

Düşük kalite

24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺2,7 B

Düşük likidite

Alis / Satis

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Dar spread

Piyasa verileri

4 dakika önce guncellendi

1 Tem 26 14:001 Ağu 26 3:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Yes36%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

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Kurallar

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jul 2026?

RegülasyonOne-OffTrade Policy Politika US Politics Seçim27g

KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Evet 36%

Piyasa kalitesi

49 / 100

Düşük kalite

24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺2,7 B

Düşük likidite

Alis / Satis

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Dar spread

Piyasa verileri

4 dakika önce guncellendi

1 Tem 26 14:001 Ağu 26 3:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Yes36%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

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Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?

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Evet: 8.7%

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₺3,1 B

Evet: 38.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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₺22,8 B

Evet: 57%

KALSHI

Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

₺14,6 B

Critical minerals: 39%

KALSHI

Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?

₺93,6 B

Evet: 13.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

₺290,3 B

Before 2027: 9%

KALSHI

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$63,264.53+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,801.62+3.71%

SolanaSOL$82.46+0.79%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0791+2.78%

XRPXRP$1.18+5.17%

BNBBNB$577.99+1.72%

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Europe is rewriting its landmark crypto rulebook MiCA as hard July 1 deadline passesCoindesk

Taiwan Passes Sweeping Crypto Law With Licensing, Stablecoin RulesDecrypt

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Utorg Obtains MiCA License as July 1 Deadline Forces Much of the Industry Out of EuropeBlockchain Reporter

Kurallar

If the President announces a new trade deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
New arrangements include, but are not limited to: