How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
2.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
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Kayıtlı fiyat
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5 or more 55%Piyasa kalitesi
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54 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli16 Eyl 25 21:00 UTC31 Ara 26 15:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the Senate ParliamentarianNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representativesthe Secretary of the SenateClerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.