KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
5 Eki 2026 15:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
16 or more 90%9 seçenek arasında lider
16 or more 90%Piyasa kalitesi
24 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
—
Açık pozisyon bilinmiyorSpread
10.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eki 26 18:00 UTC31 Ara 26 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Kurallar
If at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the Associated PressNew York TimesBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representatives
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election. Losses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 16 or more
- If at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20 or more
- If at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 24 or more
- If at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 28 or more
- If at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 32 or more
- If at least 32 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 36 or more
- If at least 36 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 40 or more
- If at least 40 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 44 or more
- If at least 44 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 48 or more
- If at least 48 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
