KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least 60% · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
At least 60% 81%8 seçenek arasında lider
At least 60% 81%Piyasa kalitesi
41 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$3,7 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
At least 60%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
24 dakika önce güncellendi
20 May 26 14:00 UTC31 Ara 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least 60%
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHighest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Humanity's Last Exam
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least 60%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 65%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 85%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 90%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 90% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 95%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 95% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.