KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Feb 3, 2027 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Feb 3, 2027 75.5%3 seçenek arasında lider
Before Feb 3, 2027 75.5%Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺13,4 B
Açık pozisyon
$1,2 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Before Feb 3, 2027Spread
—
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Ağu 26 19:00 UTC3 Şub 27 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Feb 3, 2027
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketKnesset vote of confidence in a new Israeli government in 2026
FutuurNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Defense?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
PolymarketKurallar
If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Knesset
- The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include: Parliamentary approval with binding effect A formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority An official statement by an authorized minister An official government press release A formal declaration during official government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances Statements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Proposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption Retraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment Where the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Feb 3, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 20, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 23, 2026
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Dec 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.