KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 20, 2029 79%6 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 20, 2029 79%Piyasa kalitesi
50 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺86,2
Açık pozisyon
$43,5 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Piyasa verileri
30 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Eki 26 19:50 UTC1 Tem 27 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 20, 2029
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsAny Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon a Cabinet member?
KalshiWho will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?
PredictItIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. House of Representatives
- The cabinet is defined as the following: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, and White House Chief of Staff.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
