KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Chris McGowan 90.3%Marj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺181,7 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
5.3% / 9.9%
Spread
4.6 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
11 dakika önce guncellendi
7 Oca 26 1:073 Kas 27 15:00
Trendler
Kurallar
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — IA-04 House Election Winner · Republican Party 93%
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+4.0pt19.6%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt15.9%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+44 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺51,9 Mn
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺70,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,1 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+3.0pt61.8%
- Ralph Norman-3.0pt30%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺716,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
Sık sorulan sorular
- IA-04 House winner? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 24 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Chris McGowan için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- IA-04 House winner? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- IA-04 House winner? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- IA-04 House winner? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- IA-04 House winner? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.