PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Republican Party 93%8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
68 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺692,4
Likidite
₺1,7 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadComments
0
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce guncellendi
28 Oca 26 21:363 Kas 26 0:00
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — IA-04 House winner? · Chris McGowan 90%
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+4.0pt19.6%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt15.9%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+44 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺51,9 Mn
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺70,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,1 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+3.0pt61.8%
- Ralph Norman-3.0pt30%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺716,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- IA-04 House Election Winner için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 24 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Republican Party için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- IA-04 House Election Winner ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- IA-04 House Election Winner için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2026.
- IA-04 House Election Winner nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- IA-04 House Election Winner başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.