KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore 2027 58.7%3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
50 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺3,1 B
Likidite
₺1 Mn
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
41.0% / 47.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
12 dakika önce guncellendi
1 Oca 26 15:001 Eki 26 3:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before October40%
Platformları karşılaştır· Before 2027
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Orta | 64% | — | ₺3,1 B | ₺1 Mn | 12 dakika önce | |
 Manifold Markets%90 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 5% | — | — | — | evvelsi gün | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
1ay
-11.0pt5.2%
-5.1pt2.3%
0%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini64 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$652 Tem24g veri27 Tem
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If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.