KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
At least $1 billion 95%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
43 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺214,4 B
Orta likiditeSpread
5.3 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Şub 26 15:00 UTC1 Nis 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
If government spending increases by the named outcome above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:FRED
- Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Government spending increase in 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla At least $1 billion için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Government spending increase in 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Government spending increase in 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Nisan 2027.
- Government spending increase in 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If government spending increases by the named outcome above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.