KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least $1 billion · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
At least $1 billion 5.5%10 seçenek arasında lider
At least $1 billion 5.5%Piyasa kalitesi
45 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$35,2 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
At least $1 billionSpread
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Piyasa verileri
28 dakika önce güncellendi
14 Ağu 26 14:30 UTC31 Mar 29 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least $1 billion
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:FRED
- Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least $1 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 150 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $150 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $2000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 250 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $250 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 750 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $750 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 100 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $100 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $200 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.