KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2028 25.5%3 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2028 25.5%Piyasa kalitesi
38 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$750,5
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Piyasa verileri
24 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Eyl 26 00:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2028
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026?
PredictItWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWhen will a US government AI run overtake private AI compute by FLOP?
Manifold MarketsWill Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must expressly authorize the U.S. government to initiate the shutdown, suspension, or technical disabling of an operating AI model or system to address safety or security risks or loss of control. The government may act directly or compel a developer, operator, or service provider to carry out the shutdown, including through a court order. A company-controlled kill switch alone does not qualify. Neither does authority limited to blocking future development or release, or a general power to regulate AI without authority to stop an operating system. The government need not own or physically operate the shutdown mechanism, and the authority need not be used before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
