KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Marine Le Pen · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Marine Le Pen 84%13 seçenek arasında lider
Marine Le Pen 84%Piyasa kalitesi
57 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺7,5 B
Açık pozisyon
$12,4 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Marine Le PenSpread
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Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Tem 26 14:00 UTC17 Nis 28 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Marine Le Pen
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsNext French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
KalshiKurallar
If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Conseil constitutionnel
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernard Cazeneuve
- If Bernard Cazeneuve is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sébastien Lecornu
- If Sébastien Lecornu is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Élisabeth Borne
- If Élisabeth Borne is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Olivier Faure
- If Olivier Faure is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
