Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
1.0 puan (24s)One-OffPolitikaABD SiyasetiSeçim2ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
29 Eki 2026 14:47 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 20, 2029 53.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 20, 2029 53.5%Piyasa kalitesi
31 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺178,9
Açık pozisyon
$32,8 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
—
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli14 Nis 26 14:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 20, 2029
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCongressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first member of Congress impeached or removed under Trump's current administration?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next member of congress be confirmed to be gay?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the United States Senatethe United States House of Representativesthe Congressional RecordThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBC
- Statements must be clear, unambiguous, and current. This includes any of the following: Introducing articles of impeachment (if applicable) Co-sponsoring articles of impeachment (if applicable) Voting for articles of impeachment (if applicable) Clear, unambiguous, and explicit statements supporting impeachment such as "the person supports impeachment of the President" or "the person believes the President should be impeached" Posts on official social media accounts, press releases, or legislative websites expressing that impeachment should proceed. The call for impeachment is still encompassed by the Payout Criterion even if subsequently retracted. The following do NOT qualify: Vague or implicit references that do not clearly advocate for impeachment, such as expressions of concern or dissatisfaction with presidential conduct that do not explicitly mention impeachment Statements criticizing the President's actions or policies, statements of process or neutrality, e.g., "Let's wait for the investigation" or "The House should explore impeachment" without a personal endorsement Statements contingent on future events, such as "If X happens, then I will support impeachment" or "We may need to consider impeachment if more evidence emerges" Statements made prior to Issuance, and "likes" or "retweets" on social media of other individuals calling for impeachment without additional commentary
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
