Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez, AOC (D: NY-14) 38.4%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
22
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multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Mar 24 02:00 UTC1 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
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Which of these (relatively) young and healthy members will be in Congress last (not longest)! Once someone loses reelection, or resigns from Congress, they are officially eliminated (effective at the end of their term or resignation date).
- If someone dies, they are immediately eliminated.
- Whoever is the last one standing will be the winner.
- People can switch Congressional districts, or chambers of Congress, but they must hold roles in consecutive terms to not be eliminated.
- If someone leaves Congress and later returns, they are still eliminated.
- Market will extend as needed.
