When will AP call the Alaska Senate election?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri8g
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
5 Kas 2026 14:53 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 4 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 4 54%6 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 4 54%Piyasa kalitesi
24 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺36,7 B
Açık pozisyon
$733
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 4Spread
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Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli4 Kas 26 22:30 UTC14 Kas 26 05:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 4
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 11
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 18
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 19
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 26
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
