KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 57%
Piyasa kalitesi
55 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺33,5 B
Likidite
₺37,3 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
40.0% / 44.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Ağu 26 21:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
PolymarketWhich parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
PolymarketWill any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
PolymarketKurallar
If the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe VergeAgence France-Presse
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The Alternative fuer Deutschland is part of a German state government only if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position, including a junior ministerial or equivalent executive role, in that state's government.
- The test applies at any time after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, whether the position is taken at the formation of a new state government or through a mid-term appointment or reshuffle A caretaker or acting administration carried over from a previous government does NOT count An arrangement in which the party supports a minority government without holding any such position does NOT count A coalition agreement that has been signed but under which no government has yet taken office does NOT count
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
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Sık sorulan sorular
- AfD in a German state government in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 57% fiyatlıyor.
- AfD in a German state government in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- AfD in a German state government in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- AfD in a German state government in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- AfD in a German state government in 2026? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.