How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
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KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
5.67% or above · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
Emir defteri alındı (platformun fiyat zamanı değil): —
Kayıtlı fiyat
5.67% or above Kayıtlı alış–satış99%–100%Toplanma zamanı: Son işlem: 87% · İşlem zamanı bilinmiyorFiyatlar, ücretler öncesi ödemenin yüzdesidir; bu kayıtlı gözlemler işlem yapılabilir fiyat teklifleri değildir.30 seçenek arasında lider
5.67% or above Kayıtlı alış–satış99%–100%Toplanma zamanı: Son işlem: 87% · İşlem zamanı bilinmiyorFiyatlar, ücretler öncesi ödemenin yüzdesidir; bu kayıtlı gözlemler işlem yapılabilir fiyat teklifleri değildir.Piyasa kalitesi
38 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺6,2 B
Açık pozisyon
₺950,7 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
5.67% or aboveSpread
—
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eki 26 04:00 UTC30 Eki 26 19:30 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
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- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 1h (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · 5.67% or above
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
Emir defteri alındı (platformun fiyat zamanı değil): —
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.67% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 5.66% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.65% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.65% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.64% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.67% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.66% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.68% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.67% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.69% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.68% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.7% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.69% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.76% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.75% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.73% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.72% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.71% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.70% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.72% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.71% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.84% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.83% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.74% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.73% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.75% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.74% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.77% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.76% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.78% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.77% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.82% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.81% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.92% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.91% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.94% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.93% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.8% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.79% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.79% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.78% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.91% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.90% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.93% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.92% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.81% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.80% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.83% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.82% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.85% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.84% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.86% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.85% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.9% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.89% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.87% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.86% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.89% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.88% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.88% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.87% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.