How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
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KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
4.94% or above · —
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Kayıtlı fiyat
4.94% or above Kayıtlı alış–satış50%–51%Toplanma zamanı: Son işlem: 50% · İşlem zamanı bilinmiyorFiyatlar, ücretler öncesi ödemenin yüzdesidir; bu kayıtlı gözlemler işlem yapılabilir fiyat teklifleri değildir.30 seçenek arasında lider
4.94% or above Kayıtlı alış–satış50%–51%Toplanma zamanı: Son işlem: 50% · İşlem zamanı bilinmiyorFiyatlar, ücretler öncesi ödemenin yüzdesidir; bu kayıtlı gözlemler işlem yapılabilir fiyat teklifleri değildir.Piyasa kalitesi
57 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺523,9
Açık pozisyon
₺631,1 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
4.94% or aboveSpread
—
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eki 26 04:00 UTC30 Eki 26 19:30 UTC
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Piyasa derinliği · 4.94% or above
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PolymarketKurallar
If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 4.94% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.95% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.99% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.97% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.93% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.16% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.03% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.17% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.01% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.18% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.05% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.19% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.2% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.06% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.21% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.22% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.07% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.08% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.1% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.09% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.11% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.12% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.13% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.14% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.15% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.