KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkAt least 4bps 79%10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
24 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺42,3 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
74.0% / 80.0%
Spread
8.1%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
17 dakika önce guncellendi
21 Haz 26 14:0029 Tem 26 20:14
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
At least 4bps79%
Hacim trendi
$348 Tem11g veri25 Tem
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
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If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 4bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S.
- Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day.
- The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100.
- For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.
- If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 6bps, then the market resolves to Yes.