Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes100%
No0%
SimGanhou
NãoPerdeu
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%.
- A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth".
- As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession.
- If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022.