Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
0.4 pts (24h)
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 20+
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
20+ 100%+23.1ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
127 mil €
Liquidez
569,5 mil €
Alta liquidezVariação 7d
-84.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 112 dias
Desatualizado24/03/26, 17:0830/04/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
20+82%
80+1%
60+1%
40+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.