Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record?
WeatherPolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atualNão 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 122 dias
Desatualizado8/09/21, 0:001/10/21, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regras
In Response to Trader Inquiry: At the time of this market’s inception, the record high for September was +0.95 °C above the 20th century average.
- This value will continue to be used as the benchmark for this market, i.e. if September 2021 reports a value of +0.95 °C or higher, the market will resolve to “Yes,” otherwise “No.” Retroactive modification of past values will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
- This is a market on whether the average global land and ocean surface temperature for September 2021 will be the highest September temperature since global records began in 1880.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Global Climate Report for September 2021, published by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2021).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for the month of September 2021 averaged as a whole, global land and ocean surface temperature anomaly, as measured by U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, will be equal to or greater than 0.95°C (1.71°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F), and “No” otherwise.
