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  • Início
  • MercadosMercados de Previsão
  • Notícias
  • Painel de Controle
  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
July 31
July 31 15%+1.0%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

761,3 €

Liquidez

12,8 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

13.0% / 17.0%

Spread

30.8%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+2.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

21/11/25, 22:3031/07/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
December 31
December 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%
May 31
May 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

July 3115%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Orikhiv by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will be considered captured if any part of Orikhiv is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Orikhiv by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will be considered captured if any part of Orikhiv is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.