PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 98%+29.4%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
20,5 mil €
Liquidez
17 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
92.1% / 96.5%
Spread
4.8%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
+86.3%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
10/03/26, 3:1731/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 3198%
Tendência de volume
$23.4k2 de jul.22d de dados23 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnoiarske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.419117° N, 37.125165° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.