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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

3.5% (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
July 31
July 31 15%-5.0%
Qualidade do mercado

61 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

17,5 mil €

Liquidez

10,1 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

9.0% / 11.0%

Spread

22.2%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

5/06/26, 22:4631/07/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

July 3115%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.423665° N, 37.221521° E) located in Dorozhnie, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.423665° N, 37.221521° E) located in Dorozhnie, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.