PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 92%+0.8pt
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
137,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
1.6% / 14.8%
Spread
13.2 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
12/06/26, 15:20 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026.
- Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
- If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September??
- A Polymarket cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September? é resolvido?
- Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).