Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record?
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 147 dias
Desatualizado20/08/21, 0:001/09/21, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regras
This is a market on whether the average global land and ocean surface temperature for August 2021 will be the highest August temperature since global records began in 1880. The resolution source for this market will be the Global Climate Report for August 2021, published by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2021).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for the month of August 2021 averaged as a whole, global land and ocean surface temperature anomaly, as measured by U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, will be greater than 0.98°C (1.76°F) above the 20th century average of 15.6°C (60.1°F), and “No” otherwise. Past data for the month of August can be found here https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/1/8/1880-2021. This market will resolve when data is first available for the month of August 2021. In the event of an ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).