PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 57.6%+28.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
4/09/26, 16:02 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
KalshiHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWill at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 7 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExRegras
This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC).
- Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET).
- The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes", and all other brackets will resolve "No".
- A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale).
- A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane.
- Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification.