PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
American Dream 92%+7.0ptLíder entre 28 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
2,8 mil €
Liquidez
10,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado26/08/26, 23:5430/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
- Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Barack Hussein Obama é de 87%. As cotações diferem cerca de 5 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Barack Hussein Obama 87% · 2 plataformas · 5 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — What will Trump say in September? · Golden Age 99%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will Trump say in September??
- A Polymarket cota American Dream em 92% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will Trump say in September? é resolvido?
- What will Trump say in September? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como What will Trump say in September? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais What will Trump say in September? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.