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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

0.7% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 2%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

341,4 €

Liquidez

5,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

0.9% / 2.7%

Spread

200.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.6%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

29/12/25, 21:5530/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes2%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.