Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 pts (24h)
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (100%)
Resolvido: 2 de jun. de 2026, 18:21
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
No
A 7 dias
98%
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidade implícita atualNão 100%
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
135,7 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Variação 7d
-2.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 54 dias
Desatualizado31/03/26, 21:4531/05/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 135,7 mil € | 0 € | há 54 dias | |
 Manifold Markets77% de correspondência · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 57 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Fechados
Resolvido
Não (99.7%)
99.7%
0.3%
Previsão da comunidade318 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.