PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (100%)
Resolvido: 9 de mai. de 2026, 19:45
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Yes
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
32%
SurpresaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 100%+0.7pt
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
27,1 M €
Liquidez
2,4 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+90.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 79 dias
Desatualizado13/01/26, 19:2430/06/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 27,1 M € | 2,4 M € | há 79 dias | |
 Manifold Markets84% de correspondência · auto | — | 3% | — | — | — | há 28 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Fechados
Resolvido
Não (97.5%)
97.5%
2.5%
Previsão da comunidade32 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.