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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição
PolymarketPolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Este mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.

Probabilidade implícita atual
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+ 99%-0.1%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

56 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

30,3 €

Liquidez

36,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+0.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 minutos

18/05/26, 15:1819/05/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+
-0.1%
99%
Gallrein 6-9%
Gallrein 6-9%
+0.1%
1%
Massie 6%+
Massie 6%+
0%
Gallrein 3-6%
Gallrein 3-6%
0%
Massie 3-6%
Massie 3-6%
0%
Gallrein <3%
Gallrein <3%
0%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Fechados

Resolvido

Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
0%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
0%

+7 mais resultados

44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total41,2 mil €
Volume 24h63,8 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.